wins above replacement

NFL WAR

2025 regular-season published offensive skill-position actor and placekicking player value.

2025 2024 2023

published model

Published component WAR

Published

Every row shown here comes from a completed run recorded as published after its component-specific release gates passed. Components without a qualifying published run remain absent. This is not all-sides or full-roster WAR.

ScopeQB · RB/FB · WR · TE · K

ComponentsOffense + Kicking

Modeled opportunities35,124.2

Published scope coverage99.9%

UncertaintyComponent-specific

Not estimated: offensive-line, defensive-player, punting, return, blocking, and coverage WAR.

Terminology: offensive modeled opportunities are fractional actor-credit exposure: passes allocate 0.65 to the passer and 0.35 to the targeted receiver, while rushes allocate 1.0 to the runner. Actor credit rows are reported separately. Kicking opportunities are field-goal and extra-point attempts.

Blocked kicks: 35 blocked attempts are excluded from individual kicker WAR and remain unallocated team-unit value.

Intervals: Offense 1,000 bootstraps · Kicking 1,000 bootstraps.

component provenance

Runs used on this page

Offensive skill-position WARPublished

nfl-oakwar-pbp-actor-ridge-offense-v1

1,000 bootstraps · validation and reconciliation passed

49,450 actor credit rows · 32,809.2 modeled opportunities

100,075 multi-season training eligible plays

a95fbf95-3979-40ed-a9fe-21e19dfa69c6Generated 2026-07-15 07:43:16.680055+00

Kicking WARPublished

nfl-kicking-oakwar-xepa-ridge-v1

1,000 bootstraps · validation and reconciliation passed

2,315 modeled kick attempts

35 blocked attempts unallocated

933203a6-0428-4ff0-88be-11586358b271Generated 2026-07-15 05:59:21.696501+00

player rankings

2025 NFL WAR leaders

PositionTeamMin opportunities

Rk	Teams	Player	Pos	G	Opportunities	WAR	90% interval	Reliability
1	LA	Puka Nacua	WR	16	68.1	0.23	0.15 to 0.31	58%
2	SEA	Jaxon Smith-Njigba	WR	17	64.1	0.17	0.09 to 0.24	58%
3	CIN	Ja'Marr Chase	WR	16	67.8	0.13	0.06 to 0.21	60%
4	DET	Amon-Ra St. Brown	WR	17	63.2	0.13	0.06 to 0.19	60%
5	DAL	George Pickens	WR	17	48	0.09	0.04 to 0.14	57%
6	HOU	Nico Collins	WR	15	44.4	0.06	0.02 to 0.10	56%
7	PHI	DeVonta Smith	WR	17	39.9	0.06	0.03 to 0.10	55%
8	BAL	Zay Flowers	WR	17	50.7	0.06	0.00 to 0.11	56%
9	CIN	Tee Higgins	WR	15	34.7	0.05	0.02 to 0.08	52%
10	PHI	A.J. Brown	WR	15	42.4	0.05	0.01 to 0.09	56%
11	NE	Stefon Diggs	WR	17	35.7	0.05	0.02 to 0.08	53%
12	DEN	Courtland Sutton	WR	17	44.8	0.05	0.00 to 0.10	56%
13	IND	Alec Pierce	WR	15	29.4	0.05	0.02 to 0.08	49%
14	JAX	Brian Thomas Jr.	WR	14	34.9	0.05	0.02 to 0.08	51%
15	DET	Jameson Williams	WR	17	41.7	0.04	0.01 to 0.08	53%
16	MIN	Jordan Addison	WR	14	29.7	0.04	0.01 to 0.07	49%
17	MIA	Jaylen Waddle	WR	16	37.7	0.04	0.00 to 0.07	53%
18	LAC	Ladd McConkey	WR	16	37.1	0.03	0.00 to 0.07	54%
19	MIN	Justin Jefferson	WR	17	51.7	0.03	-0.03 to 0.10	56%
20	LV	Tre Tucker	WR	17	43.2	0.03	0.00 to 0.07	53%
21	CHI	DJ Moore	WR	17	45.4	0.03	-0.01 to 0.07	52%
22	PIT	DK Metcalf	WR	15	36.7	0.03	0.00 to 0.06	53%
23	JAX LV	Jakobi Meyers	WR	16	43.5	0.03	-0.02 to 0.07	54%
24	ATL	Drake London	WR	12	39.6	0.03	-0.02 to 0.07	54%
25	WAS	Terry McLaurin	WR	10	21	0.03	0.00 to 0.05	44%
26	LAC	Quentin Johnston	WR	13	31.4	0.02	-0.01 to 0.05	50%
27	LA	Davante Adams	WR	14	39.9	0.02	-0.02 to 0.06	55%
28	LAC	Keenan Allen	WR	17	42.7	0.02	-0.02 to 0.06	56%
29	ARI	Marvin Harrison Jr.	WR	12	25.9	0.02	0.00 to 0.04	47%
30	CLE	Jerry Jeudy	WR	17	38.1	0.02	-0.02 to 0.06	53%
31	NO	Chris Olave	WR	16	56.3	0.02	-0.04 to 0.07	59%
32	NE	DeMario Douglas	WR	16	23.1	0.01	0.00 to 0.03	42%
33	CHI	Rome Odunze	WR	12	31.9	0.01	-0.01 to 0.04	51%
34	GB	Romeo Doubs	WR	16	30.1	0.01	-0.01 to 0.03	50%
35	CAR	Jalen Coker	WR	11	15.8	0.01	0.00 to 0.02	39%
36	ATL	Darnell Mooney	WR	15	25.2	0.01	-0.01 to 0.03	47%
37	NE	Kayshon Boutte	WR	14	16.1	0.01	0.00 to 0.02	39%
38	JAX	Parker Washington	WR	15	41	0.01	-0.02 to 0.04	53%
39	NYG	Darius Slayton	WR	14	22.8	0.01	-0.01 to 0.02	45%
40	MIN PIT	Adam Thielen	WR	14	12.6	0.01	0.00 to 0.02	35%
41	TB	Chris Godwin Jr.	WR	9	18.2	0.01	0.00 to 0.02	41%
42	NYG	Malik Nabers	WR	4	12.3	0.01	0.00 to 0.02	35%
43	NO	Devaughn Vele	WR	9	14	0.01	0.00 to 0.02	37%
44	ARI	Michael Wilson	WR	17	44.5	0.01	-0.03 to 0.05	57%
45	NYJ	Garrett Wilson	WR	7	21	0.01	-0.02 to 0.03	44%
46	CHI	Luther Burden III	WR	15	27	0.01	-0.01 to 0.02	46%
47	NE	Mack Hollins	WR	14	23.8	0.01	-0.01 to 0.02	46%
48	GB	Christian Watson	WR	10	20.3	0.01	-0.01 to 0.02	43%
49	TEN	Calvin Ridley	WR	7	12.6	0.01	-0.01 to 0.02	35%
50	CIN	Andrei Iosivas	WR	15	23.3	0.00	-0.01 to 0.02	44%
51	CAR	Tetairoa McMillan	WR	17	42.7	0.00	-0.03 to 0.04	56%
52	DEN	Marvin Mims Jr.	WR	15	29.9	0.00	-0.02 to 0.03	44%
53	GB	Jayden Reed	WR	5	10.7	0.00	-0.01 to 0.01	30%
54	DAL	KaVontae Turpin	WR	15	30.3	0.00	-0.03 to 0.03	42%
55	KC	Xavier Worthy	WR	14	36.6	0.00	-0.02 to 0.03	49%
56	IND	Josh Downs	WR	16	32.8	0.00	-0.03 to 0.03	51%
57	KC	Rashee Rice	WR	8	32.7	0.00	-0.02 to 0.03	50%
58	TB	Mike Evans	WR	8	21.7	0.00	-0.01 to 0.02	44%
59	DAL	CeeDee Lamb	WR	13	42	0.00	-0.04 to 0.05	55%
60	DAL	Ryan Flournoy	WR	13	23.6	0.00	-0.01 to 0.01	44%
61	MIA	Tyreek Hill	WR	4	10.2	0.00	-0.01 to 0.01	32%
62	DAL	Jalen Tolbert	WR	11	12.3	0.00	-0.01 to 0.01	35%
63	LA	Xavier Smith	WR	10	8.4	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	30%
64	TB	Jalen McMillan	WR	4	6.3	0.00	0.00 to 0.01	25%
65	BAL	Rashod Bateman	WR	13	13.7	0.00	-0.01 to 0.01	37%
66	NYJ	Allen Lazard	WR	9	6.3	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	26%
67	BUF	Josh Palmer	WR	12	13	0.00	-0.01 to 0.01	36%
68	BUF	Mecole Hardman	WR	1	0.4	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	6%
69	TEN	Bryce Oliver	WR	1	0.4	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	6%
70	JAX	Tim Jones	WR	1	0.4	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	6%
71	WAS	Jacoby Jones	WR	1	0.4	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	6%
72	SF	Kendrick Bourne	WR	14	18.6	0.00	-0.01 to 0.01	42%
73	CIN	Charlie Jones	WR	1	0.4	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	6%
74	SF	Malik Turner	WR	1	0.4	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	6%
75	KC	Jason Brownlee	WR	1	0.4	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	6%
76	ARI	Steven Sims	WR	1	0.4	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	6%
77	IND	Coleman Owen	WR	1	0.4	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	6%
78	HOU	Justin Watson	WR	2	1.4	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	13%
79	WAS	Tay Martin	WR	2	0.7	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	9%
80	SEA	Jake Bobo	WR	2	0.7	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	9%
81	CAR	David Moore	WR	2	1.4	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	9%
82	NYJ	Quentin Skinner	WR	1	0.7	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	9%
83	LA	Jordan Whittington	WR	13	11.8	0.00	-0.01 to 0.00	32%
84	IND	Anthony Gould	WR	2	0.7	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	9%
85	HOU	Jared Wayne	WR	1	0.7	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	9%
86	GB	Jakobie Keeney-James	WR	1	0.7	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	9%
87	PHI	Xavier Gipson	WR	2	0.7	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	9%
88	DET	Kalif Raymond	WR	12	12.5	0.00	-0.01 to 0.01	34%
89	NE	Efton Chism III	WR	2	1.1	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	11%
90	BAL	Devontez Walker	WR	5	2.8	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	18%
91	SEA	Cody White	WR	3	1.4	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	13%
92	MIN	Tai Felton	WR	3	1.1	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	11%
93	LV	Alex Bachman	WR	3	1.1	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	11%
94	DEN	Michael Bandy	WR	3	1.4	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	13%
95	SF	Jordan Watkins	WR	2	1.1	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	11%
96	SEA	Dareke Young	WR	3	1.1	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	11%
97	DET	Malik Cunningham	WR	1	1	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	6%
98	PIT	Ben Skowronek	WR	6	2.1	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	15%
99	KC	Nikko Remigio	WR	2	1.4	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	9%
100	KC	Jalen Royals	WR	1	1.1	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	11%
101	TEN	Mason Kinsey	WR	2	1.4	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	13%
102	TB	Ryan Miller	WR	4	1.4	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	13%
103	GB	Malik Heath	WR	5	2.5	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	17%
104	DET	Tom Kennedy	WR	1	1.4	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	13%
105	IND	Ashton Dulin	WR	7	6.5	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	22%
106	PHI	Britain Covey	WR	1	1.4	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	13%
107	NO	Samori Toure	WR	1	1.1	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	11%
108	ARI	Andre Baccellia	WR	2	1.4	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	13%
109	BAL	Tylan Wallace	WR	6	2.8	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	18%
110	NO	Ronnie Bell	WR	1	1.4	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	13%
111	CHI	Devin Duvernay	WR	3	1.8	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	14%
112	ARI DEN	Trent Sherfield	WR	4	1.8	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	14%
113	JAX	Tim Patrick	WR	13	8.4	0.00	-0.01 to 0.00	30%
114	PIT	Calvin Austin III	WR	14	19.3	0.00	-0.02 to 0.01	42%
115	BAL	DeAndre Hopkins	WR	17	13.7	0.00	-0.01 to 0.01	37%
116	MIA	Dee Eskridge	WR	5	2.5	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	17%
117	ATL	Deven Thompkins	WR	2	2.1	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	13%
118	MIA	Nick Westbrook-Ikhine	WR	9	7	0.00	-0.01 to 0.00	27%
119	WAS	Noah Brown	WR	4	3.5	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	20%
120	TEN	Xavier Restrepo	WR	2	2.5	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	17%
121	MIA	Tahj Washington	WR	2	1.8	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	14%
122	MIN	Jalen Nailor	WR	17	20.9	0.00	-0.02 to 0.02	43%
123	LV	Shedrick Jackson	WR	3	2.8	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	15%
124	NYG	Gunner Olszewski	WR	5	5.9	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	24%
125	KC	Tyquan Thornton	WR	11	13	0.00	-0.01 to 0.01	36%
126	CIN	Ke'Shawn Williams	WR	3	2.4	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	11%
127	CHI	Jahdae Walker	WR	3	3.5	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	20%
128	NYG	Beaux Collins	WR	3	2.1	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	15%
129	LA	Tutu Atwell	WR	8	5.3	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	24%
130	CHI	Olamide Zaccheaus	WR	14	27.1	0.00	-0.02 to 0.01	47%
131	ATL	KhaDarel Hodge	WR	3	3.5	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	20%
132	MIA	Cedrick Wilson Jr.	WR	6	3.2	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	19%
133	MIA	Theo Wease Jr.	WR	3	3.5	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	20%
134	ARI	Jalen Brooks	WR	2	2.1	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	15%
135	SEA	Velus Jones Jr.	WR	1	4	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	13%
136	PHI	Darius Cooper	WR	5	3.9	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	21%
137	TEN	James Proche	WR	6	4.2	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	21%
138	WAS	Luke McCaffrey	WR	7	5.3	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	24%
139	BUF	Tyrell Shavers	WR	10	8.1	0.00	-0.01 to 0.00	29%
140	CAR	Jimmy Horn Jr.	WR	10	13.3	0.00	-0.01 to 0.00	29%
141	DAL	Jonathan Mingo	WR	5	1.8	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	14%
142	ATL NYG	Ray-Ray McCloud	WR	5	5.3	0.00	-0.01 to 0.00	24%
143	HOU	Braxton Berrios	WR	2	2.8	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	18%
144	JAX	Austin Trammell	WR	5	3.5	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	20%
145	LAC	Derius Davis	WR	5	3.1	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	14%
146	SF	Ricky Pearsall	WR	9	20.6	0.00	-0.02 to 0.01	42%
147	ATL	Casey Washington	WR	5	4.9	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	23%
148	SF	Skyy Moore	WR	9	4.5	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	19%
149	CAR	Brycen Tremayne	WR	8	6.3	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	26%
150	TB	Kameron Johnson	WR	5	4.5	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	19%
151	DET	Isaac TeSlaa	WR	14	9.5	0.00	-0.01 to 0.00	31%
152	NO	Dante Pettis	WR	4	3.9	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	21%
153	WAS	Chris Moore	WR	8	9.1	0.00	-0.01 to 0.00	30%
154	PIT	Scott Miller	WR	5	4.9	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	23%
155	WAS	Robbie Chosen	WR	3	3.2	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	19%
156	NYJ	Tyler Johnson	WR	9	6.3	0.00	-0.01 to 0.00	26%
157	CLE	Jamari Thrash	WR	8	5.3	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	24%
158	ARI	Xavier Weaver	WR	6	4.6	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	22%
159	BUF	Keon Coleman	WR	12	21.7	0.00	-0.02 to 0.01	44%
160	TEN	Van Jefferson	WR	14	18.2	0.00	-0.01 to 0.01	41%
161	NYG	Isaiah Hodgins	WR	6	6.7	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	27%
162	SEA	Tory Horton	WR	7	7.7	0.00	-0.01 to 0.00	28%
163	LAC	KeAndre Lambert-Smith	WR	7	4.2	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	21%
164	ARI	Zay Jones	WR	6	6.3	0.00	-0.01 to 0.00	26%
165	BUF	Curtis Samuel	WR	5	3.2	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	19%
166	ATL	Dylan Drummond	WR	4	4.2	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	21%
167	KC	Marquise Brown	WR	16	25.9	0.00	-0.02 to 0.01	48%
168	BUF	Gabe Davis	WR	6	6.3	0.00	-0.01 to 0.00	26%
169	LV TEN	Tyler Lockett	WR	17	19.6	0.00	-0.02 to 0.01	43%
170	PIT	Roman Wilson	WR	9	7.4	0.00	-0.01 to 0.00	28%
171	ARI	Greg Dortch	WR	12	18.6	0.00	-0.02 to 0.01	37%
172	NO	Kevin Austin Jr.	WR	5	8.1	0.00	-0.01 to 0.00	29%
173	NYJ	Josh Reynolds	WR	5	7.7	0.00	-0.01 to 0.00	28%
174	SF	Jauan Jennings	WR	15	32.6	0.00	-0.03 to 0.03	51%
175	NE	Kyle Williams	WR	13	9.4	0.00	-0.01 to 0.00	29%
176	LAC	Tre Harris	WR	16	17.1	0.00	-0.01 to 0.00	39%
177	CLE	Gage Larvadain	WR	7	6.3	0.00	-0.01 to 0.00	25%
178	NYG	Jalin Hyatt	WR	5	4.9	0.00	-0.01 to 0.00	23%
179	CIN	Mitchell Tinsley	WR	8	8.4	0.00	-0.01 to 0.00	30%
180	PIT SF	Marquez Valdes-Scantling	WR	9	10.2	-0.01	-0.01 to 0.00	32%
181	SF	Demarcus Robinson	WR	14	13.6	-0.01	-0.01 to 0.00	36%
182	IND	Michael Pittman	WR	17	39.9	-0.01	-0.04 to 0.03	55%
183	HOU	Jayden Higgins	WR	17	24.2	-0.01	-0.02 to 0.01	46%
184	CAR	Hunter Renfrow	WR	6	9.1	-0.01	-0.01 to 0.00	31%
185	GB	Matthew Golden	WR	14	25.4	-0.01	-0.02 to 0.01	42%
186	LV	Jack Bech	WR	12	10.2	-0.01	-0.01 to 0.00	32%
187	TB	Sterling Shepard	WR	13	22.9	-0.01	-0.02 to 0.01	43%
188	CLE	Cedric Tillman	WR	12	13.7	-0.01	-0.01 to 0.00	37%
189	DEN NYG	Lil'Jordan Humphrey	WR	7	8.8	-0.01	-0.01 to 0.00	30%
190	DEN	Pat Bryant	WR	12	17.2	-0.01	-0.01 to 0.00	40%
191	CLE	Malachi Corley	WR	12	17.9	-0.01	-0.02 to 0.01	31%
192	NYJ	Arian Smith	WR	12	9.6	-0.01	-0.01 to 0.00	27%
193	LA	Konata Mumpfield	WR	9	8.1	-0.01	-0.01 to 0.00	29%
194	CLE	Isaiah Bond	WR	15	20.4	-0.01	-0.02 to 0.00	40%
195	NYJ	Isaiah Williams	WR	9	16.3	-0.01	-0.01 to 0.00	37%
196	WAS	Treylon Burks	WR	8	8.7	-0.01	-0.01 to 0.00	29%
197	ATL	David Sills	WR	12	12.6	-0.01	-0.01 to 0.00	35%
198	BUF NO	Brandin Cooks	WR	13	12.6	-0.01	-0.02 to 0.00	35%
199	TB	Tez Johnson	WR	15	22.4	-0.01	-0.02 to 0.00	41%
200	HOU	Jaylin Noel	WR	14	18.3	-0.01	-0.02 to 0.00	37%
201	CAR	Xavier Legette	WR	15	23.4	-0.01	-0.02 to 0.01	45%
202	HOU	Xavier Hutchinson	WR	16	23	-0.01	-0.02 to 0.00	44%
203	LV	Dont'e Thornton Jr.	WR	11	10.5	-0.01	-0.01 to 0.00	33%
204	WAS	Jaylin Lane	WR	13	12.2	-0.01	-0.01 to 0.00	34%
205	KC	JuJu Smith-Schuster	WR	16	15.8	-0.01	-0.02 to 0.00	39%
206	NO	Mason Tipton	WR	6	10	-0.01	-0.01 to -0.01	28%
207	BUF	Khalil Shakir	WR	16	35	-0.01	-0.04 to 0.02	52%
208	PHI	Jahan Dotson	WR	14	12.6	-0.01	-0.02 to -0.01	35%
209	JAX	Dyami Brown	WR	11	19	-0.01	-0.03 to 0.00	38%
210	GB	Dontayvion Wicks	WR	13	17.1	-0.01	-0.02 to 0.00	40%
211	NYJ PHI	John Metchie III	WR	12	19.8	-0.01	-0.03 to 0.00	41%
212	GB	Savion Williams	WR	11	14.5	-0.01	-0.02 to -0.01	28%
213	HOU	Christian Kirk	WR	11	18.6	-0.02	-0.03 to -0.01	42%
214	TEN	Elic Ayomanor	WR	16	31.2	-0.02	-0.04 to 0.01	51%
215	NYG	Wan'Dale Robinson	WR	16	52.4	-0.02	-0.07 to 0.03	57%
216	BUF	Elijah Moore	WR	9	12	-0.02	-0.03 to -0.01	29%
217	SEA	Cooper Kupp	WR	16	25.5	-0.02	-0.04 to 0.00	47%
218	TEN	Chimere Dike	WR	17	36.9	-0.02	-0.04 to 0.00	50%
219	MIA	Malik Washington	WR	17	39.8	-0.02	-0.06 to 0.01	49%
220	NO SEA	Rashid Shaheed	WR	18	41.2	-0.02	-0.06 to 0.01	53%
221	TB	Emeka Egbuka	WR	17	47.8	-0.04	-0.08 to 0.00	57%
222	IND NYJ	Adonai Mitchell	WR	16	26.9	-0.04	-0.07 to -0.01	47%
223	DEN	Troy Franklin	WR	17	42.5	-0.05	-0.08 to -0.02	55%
224	WAS	Deebo Samuel Sr.	WR	16	52	-0.06	-0.12 to -0.01	54%