wins above replacement
2025 regular-season published offensive skill-position actor and placekicking player value.
published model
Every row shown here comes from a completed run recorded as published after its component-specific release gates passed. Components without a qualifying published run remain absent. This is not all-sides or full-roster WAR.
Not estimated: offensive-line, defensive-player, punting, return, blocking, and coverage WAR.
Terminology: offensive modeled opportunities are fractional actor-credit exposure: passes allocate 0.65 to the passer and 0.35 to the targeted receiver, while rushes allocate 1.0 to the runner. Actor credit rows are reported separately. Kicking opportunities are field-goal and extra-point attempts.
Blocked kicks: 35 blocked attempts are excluded from individual kicker WAR and remain unallocated team-unit value.
Intervals: Offense 1,000 bootstraps · Kicking 1,000 bootstraps.
component provenance
nfl-oakwar-pbp-actor-ridge-offense-v1
1,000 bootstraps · validation and reconciliation passed
49,450 actor credit rows · 32,809.2 modeled opportunities
100,075 multi-season training eligible plays
a95fbf95-3979-40ed-a9fe-21e19dfa69c6nfl-kicking-oakwar-xepa-ridge-v1
1,000 bootstraps · validation and reconciliation passed
2,315 modeled kick attempts
35 blocked attempts unallocated
933203a6-0428-4ff0-88be-11586358b271player rankings
| Rk | Teams | Player | Pos | G | Opportunities | WAR | 90% interval | Reliability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ARI | Trey McBride | TE | 17 | 59.5 | 0.12 | 0.07 to 0.16 | 61% |
| 2 | SF | George Kittle | TE | 11 | 25.2 | 0.03 | 0.02 to 0.05 | 47% |
| 3 | LV | Brock Bowers | TE | 12 | 32.5 | 0.03 | 0.00 to 0.06 | 50% |
| 4 | NO | Juwan Johnson | TE | 17 | 35.7 | 0.02 | 0.00 to 0.05 | 53% |
| 5 | NE | Hunter Henry | TE | 17 | 30.5 | 0.02 | 0.00 to 0.04 | 50% |
| 6 | PIT | Jonnu Smith | TE | 17 | 28.3 | 0.02 | 0.00 to 0.04 | 45% |
| 7 | SEA | AJ Barner | TE | 17 | 33.8 | 0.02 | 0.00 to 0.04 | 48% |
| 8 | BAL | Mark Andrews | TE | 17 | 34.5 | 0.02 | -0.01 to 0.05 | 48% |
| 9 | GB | Tucker Kraft | TE | 8 | 16.4 | 0.01 | 0.01 to 0.03 | 39% |
| 10 | PIT | Pat Freiermuth | TE | 15 | 18.9 | 0.01 | 0.00 to 0.03 | 42% |
| 11 | CHI | Colston Loveland | TE | 16 | 30.1 | 0.01 | 0.00 to 0.03 | 50% |
| 12 | PHI | Dallas Goedert | TE | 15 | 28.7 | 0.01 | 0.00 to 0.03 | 49% |
| 13 | HOU | Dalton Schultz | TE | 17 | 37.5 | 0.01 | -0.01 to 0.03 | 54% |
| 14 | JAX | Brenton Strange | TE | 12 | 21 | 0.01 | 0.00 to 0.02 | 44% |
| 15 | DET | Sam LaPorta | TE | 9 | 17.2 | 0.01 | 0.00 to 0.02 | 40% |
| 16 | KC | Travis Kelce | TE | 17 | 39.2 | 0.01 | -0.02 to 0.04 | 54% |
| 17 | CHI | Cole Kmet | TE | 16 | 17.8 | 0.01 | 0.00 to 0.01 | 41% |
| 18 | ATL | Kyle Pitts | TE | 17 | 41.7 | 0.01 | -0.03 to 0.04 | 56% |
| 19 | WAS | Zach Ertz | TE | 13 | 25.6 | 0.00 | -0.01 to 0.02 | 47% |
| 20 | BUF | Dalton Kincaid | TE | 12 | 17.5 | 0.00 | -0.01 to 0.01 | 41% |
| 21 | CIN | Mike Gesicki | TE | 12 | 15.1 | 0.00 | -0.01 to 0.01 | 38% |
| 22 | CLE | Harold Fannin Jr. | TE | 16 | 43.8 | 0.00 | -0.02 to 0.03 | 55% |
| 23 | NE | Austin Hooper | TE | 13 | 9.1 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.01 | 31% |
| 24 | NYG | Daniel Bellinger | TE | 12 | 9.1 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 31% |
| 25 | MIN | Josh Oliver | TE | 12 | 7 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 27% |
| 26 | MIA | Darren Waller | TE | 8 | 13.3 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.01 | 35% |
| 27 | TB | Devin Culp | TE | 1 | 0.4 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 6% |
| 28 | KC | Jared Wiley | TE | 1 | 0.4 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 6% |
| 29 | LV | Carter Runyon | TE | 1 | 0.4 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 6% |
| 30 | SEA | Nick Kallerup | TE | 1 | 0.4 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 6% |
| 31 | KC | Robert Tonyan | TE | 1 | 0.4 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 6% |
| 32 | DET | Giovanni Ricci | TE | 1 | 0.4 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 6% |
| 33 | SF | Brayden Willis | TE | 1 | 0.4 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 6% |
| 34 | IND | Will Mallory | TE | 1 | 0.4 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 6% |
| 35 | NYG | Chris Manhertz | TE | 2 | 0.7 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 9% |
| 36 | CIN | Cam Grandy | TE | 2 | 0.7 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 9% |
| 37 | NO | Moliki Matavao | TE | 1 | 0.7 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 9% |
| 38 | GB | Drake Dabney | TE | 1 | 0.7 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 9% |
| 39 | CAR | Ja'Tavion Sanders | TE | 11 | 11.9 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 35% |
| 40 | ARI | Pharaoh Brown | TE | 1 | 0.7 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 9% |
| 41 | CAR | James Mitchell | TE | 2 | 1.1 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 11% |
| 42 | TB | Payne Durham | TE | 4 | 1.4 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 13% |
| 43 | WAS | Colson Yankoff | TE | 3 | 1.1 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 11% |
| 44 | GB | Josh Whyle | TE | 6 | 2.1 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 15% |
| 45 | BALNO | Zaire Mitchell-Paden | TE | 3 | 1.1 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 11% |
| 46 | MIN | Ben Yurosek | TE | 2 | 1.1 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 11% |
| 47 | NO | Foster Moreau | TE | 7 | 3.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 20% |
| 48 | BUF | Keleki Latu | TE | 2 | 1.4 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 13% |
| 49 | NYJ | Jelani Woods | TE | 2 | 1.1 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 11% |
| 50 | DEN | Lucas Krull | TE | 2 | 1.4 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 13% |
| 51 | LAC | Tucker Fisk | TE | 4 | 1.4 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 13% |
| 52 | CLEHOU | Brenden Bates | TE | 4 | 1.8 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 14% |
| 53 | ARI | Josiah Deguara | TE | 4 | 1.8 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 14% |
| 54 | NYJ | Stone Smartt | TE | 3 | 3.2 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 19% |
| 55 | ARI | Tip Reiman | TE | 3 | 1.8 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 14% |
| 56 | DET | Shane Zylstra | TE | 1 | 1.8 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 14% |
| 57 | IND | Andrew Ogletree | TE | 4 | 2.1 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 15% |
| 58 | DET | Ross Dwelley | TE | 3 | 1.8 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 14% |
| 59 | MIN | Ben Sims | TE | 3 | 2.1 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 15% |
| 60 | PHI | Grant Calcaterra | TE | 8 | 4.6 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 22% |
| 61 | LV | Albert Okwuegbunam | TE | 1 | 2.1 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 15% |
| 62 | LAC | Will Dissly | TE | 8 | 5.6 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 25% |
| 63 | TEN | David Martin-Robinson | TE | 4 | 2.1 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 15% |
| 64 | ATL | Feleipe Franks | TE | 2 | 2 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 9% |
| 65 | PIT | Darnell Washington | TE | 13 | 15.4 | 0.00 | -0.01 to 0.01 | 39% |
| 66 | CLE | Sal Cannella | TE | 2 | 1.8 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 14% |
| 67 | HOU | Harrison Bryant | TE | 4 | 2.1 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 15% |
| 68 | SEA | Eric Saubert | TE | 5 | 2.8 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 18% |
| 69 | BAL | Charlie Kolar | TE | 11 | 5.3 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 24% |
| 70 | CLE | Blake Whiteheart | TE | 6 | 2.1 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 15% |
| 71 | CHI | Durham Smythe | TE | 4 | 2.1 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 15% |
| 72 | DEN | Nate Adkins | TE | 6 | 3.9 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 21% |
| 73 | JAX | Quintin Morris | TE | 5 | 3.2 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 19% |
| 74 | TEN | Chig Okonkwo | TE | 17 | 27.7 | 0.00 | -0.02 to 0.02 | 49% |
| 75 | CAR | Tommy Tremble | TE | 15 | 13 | 0.00 | -0.01 to 0.00 | 36% |
| 76 | DET | Anthony Firkser | TE | 5 | 3.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 20% |
| 77 | MIN | T.J. Hockenson | TE | 15 | 24.1 | 0.00 | -0.02 to 0.01 | 46% |
| 78 | LAC | Tyler Conklin | TE | 6 | 4.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 21% |
| 79 | DEN | Adam Trautman | TE | 11 | 8.1 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 29% |
| 80 | WAS | Ben Sinnott | TE | 8 | 4.6 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 22% |
| 81 | JAX | Hunter Long | TE | 7 | 6 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 25% |
| 82 | BUF | Jackson Hawes | TE | 13 | 6.7 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 27% |
| 83 | ATL | Charlie Woerner | TE | 6 | 3.2 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 19% |
| 84 | LV | Ian Thomas | TE | 7 | 4.6 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 22% |
| 85 | DAL | Luke Schoonmaker | TE | 14 | 8.1 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 29% |
| 86 | BAL | Isaiah Likely | TE | 11 | 12.6 | 0.00 | -0.01 to 0.00 | 35% |
| 87 | WAS | John Bates | TE | 9 | 5.6 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 25% |
| 88 | JAX | Johnny Mundt | TE | 11 | 6.7 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 27% |
| 89 | PHI | Kylen Granson | TE | 4 | 3.2 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 19% |
| 90 | DAL | Brevyn Spann-Ford | TE | 10 | 4.6 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 22% |
| 91 | NO | Jack Stoll | TE | 8 | 3.9 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 21% |
| 92 | NYG | Theo Johnson | TE | 15 | 25.9 | 0.00 | -0.02 to 0.01 | 48% |
| 93 | GB | John FitzPatrick | TE | 10 | 5.3 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 24% |
| 94 | CIN | Tanner Hudson | TE | 10 | 8.4 | 0.00 | -0.01 to 0.00 | 30% |
| 95 | SF | Luke Farrell | TE | 9 | 4.9 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 23% |
| 96 | IND | Mo Alie-Cox | TE | 11 | 7 | 0.00 | -0.01 to 0.00 | 27% |
| 97 | MIA | Tanner Conner | TE | 7 | 5.3 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 24% |
| 98 | MIA | Julian Hill | TE | 11 | 7.4 | 0.00 | -0.01 to 0.00 | 28% |
| 99 | LA | Tyler Higbee | TE | 9 | 12.6 | 0.00 | -0.01 to 0.00 | 35% |
| 100 | CAR | Mitchell Evans | TE | 13 | 9.8 | 0.00 | -0.01 to 0.00 | 31% |
| 101 | NYJ | Jeremy Ruckert | TE | 13 | 10.2 | 0.00 | -0.01 to 0.00 | 32% |
| 102 | CIN | Drew Sample | TE | 11 | 8 | 0.00 | -0.01 to 0.00 | 28% |
| 103 | ARI | Elijah Higgins | TE | 15 | 13 | 0.00 | -0.01 to 0.00 | 36% |
| 104 | SF | Jake Tonges | TE | 9 | 16.1 | -0.01 | -0.01 to 0.00 | 39% |
| 105 | DET | Brock Wright | TE | 7 | 7.7 | -0.01 | -0.01 to 0.00 | 28% |
| 106 | LA | Terrance Ferguson | TE | 11 | 9.8 | -0.01 | -0.01 to 0.00 | 31% |
| 107 | BUF | Dawson Knox | TE | 16 | 17.5 | -0.01 | -0.01 to 0.00 | 41% |
| 108 | LAC | Oronde Gadsden II | TE | 15 | 24.2 | -0.01 | -0.02 to 0.01 | 46% |
| 109 | NYJ | Mason Taylor | TE | 13 | 23.1 | -0.01 | -0.01 to 0.00 | 46% |
| 110 | MIA | Greg Dulcich | TE | 9 | 12.9 | -0.01 | -0.01 to 0.00 | 35% |
| 111 | KC | Noah Gray | TE | 13 | 13.3 | -0.01 | -0.01 to 0.00 | 36% |
| 112 | GB | Luke Musgrave | TE | 13 | 10.9 | -0.01 | -0.01 to 0.00 | 33% |
| 113 | LA | Colby Parkinson | TE | 14 | 19.6 | -0.01 | -0.02 to 0.01 | 43% |
| 114 | TEN | Gunnar Helm | TE | 16 | 19.3 | -0.01 | -0.01 to 0.00 | 42% |
| 115 | HOU | Cade Stover | TE | 6 | 9.6 | -0.01 | -0.01 to 0.00 | 27% |
| 116 | LA | Davis Allen | TE | 15 | 11.6 | -0.01 | -0.01 to 0.00 | 34% |
| 117 | CLE | David Njoku | TE | 11 | 16.8 | -0.01 | -0.02 to 0.00 | 40% |
| 118 | CIN | Noah Fant | TE | 13 | 14.4 | -0.01 | -0.02 to 0.00 | 37% |
| 119 | SEA | Elijah Arroyo | TE | 13 | 9.1 | -0.01 | -0.01 to 0.00 | 31% |
| 120 | LV | Michael Mayer | TE | 12 | 17.5 | -0.01 | -0.02 to 0.00 | 41% |
| 121 | TB | Cade Otton | TE | 15 | 28.7 | -0.01 | -0.03 to 0.01 | 49% |
| 122 | DEN | Evan Engram | TE | 16 | 28 | -0.02 | -0.03 to 0.00 | 49% |
| 123 | IND | Tyler Warren | TE | 17 | 45.9 | -0.02 | -0.05 to 0.01 | 56% |
| 124 | DAL | Jake Ferguson | TE | 17 | 37.1 | -0.02 | -0.04 to 0.00 | 54% |
| 125 | NO | Taysom Hill | TE | 13 | 62.2 | -0.02 | -0.10 to 0.06 | 43% |