wins above replacement

NFL WAR

2025 regular-season published offensive skill-position actor and placekicking player value.

2025 2024 2023

published model

Published component WAR

Published

Every row shown here comes from a completed run recorded as published after its component-specific release gates passed. Components without a qualifying published run remain absent. This is not all-sides or full-roster WAR.

ScopeQB · RB/FB · WR · TE · K

ComponentsOffense + Kicking

Modeled opportunities35,124.2

Published scope coverage99.9%

UncertaintyComponent-specific

Not estimated: offensive-line, defensive-player, punting, return, blocking, and coverage WAR.

Terminology: offensive modeled opportunities are fractional actor-credit exposure: passes allocate 0.65 to the passer and 0.35 to the targeted receiver, while rushes allocate 1.0 to the runner. Actor credit rows are reported separately. Kicking opportunities are field-goal and extra-point attempts.

Blocked kicks: 35 blocked attempts are excluded from individual kicker WAR and remain unallocated team-unit value.

Intervals: Offense 1,000 bootstraps · Kicking 1,000 bootstraps.

component provenance

Runs used on this page

Offensive skill-position WARPublished

nfl-oakwar-pbp-actor-ridge-offense-v1

1,000 bootstraps · validation and reconciliation passed

49,450 actor credit rows · 32,809.2 modeled opportunities

100,075 multi-season training eligible plays

a95fbf95-3979-40ed-a9fe-21e19dfa69c6Generated 2026-07-15 07:43:16.680055+00

Kicking WARPublished

nfl-kicking-oakwar-xepa-ridge-v1

1,000 bootstraps · validation and reconciliation passed

2,315 modeled kick attempts

35 blocked attempts unallocated

933203a6-0428-4ff0-88be-11586358b271Generated 2026-07-15 05:59:21.696501+00

player rankings

2025 NFL WAR leaders

PositionTeamMin opportunities

Rk	Teams	Player	Pos	G	Opportunities	WAR	90% interval	Reliability
1	ATL	Bijan Robinson	RB/FB	17	324.1	0.44	0.10 to 0.78	34%
2	DET	Jahmyr Gibbs	RB/FB	17	275.9	0.29	-0.08 to 0.65	31%
3	PHI	Saquon Barkley	RB/FB	16	298.9	0.27	-0.10 to 0.64	31%
4	BAL	Derrick Henry	RB/FB	17	315	0.24	-0.15 to 0.63	30%
5	IND	Jonathan Taylor	RB/FB	17	342.6	0.20	-0.16 to 0.59	32%
6	NE	TreVeyon Henderson	RB/FB	17	194.7	0.18	-0.03 to 0.40	42%
7	CAR	Rico Dowdle	RB/FB	17	253.5	0.16	-0.08 to 0.38	42%
8	CIN	Chase Brown	RB/FB	17	264.2	0.16	-0.08 to 0.41	42%
9	CAR	Chuba Hubbard	RB/FB	15	148.7	0.15	-0.04 to 0.33	43%
10	MIA	De'Von Achane	RB/FB	16	267.8	0.14	-0.16 to 0.47	34%
11	CHI	Kyle Monangai	RB/FB	17	180.5	0.13	-0.06 to 0.31	44%
12	DEN	J.K. Dobbins	RB/FB	10	157.9	0.13	-0.05 to 0.30	43%
13	WAS	Chris Rodriguez Jr.	RB/FB	12	113.4	0.11	0.01 to 0.22	47%
14	KC	Kareem Hunt	RB/FB	17	171.8	0.11	-0.04 to 0.26	49%
15	LA	Blake Corum	RB/FB	17	149.9	0.10	-0.01 to 0.22	50%
16	NYG	Devin Singletary	RB/FB	17	126.3	0.08	-0.05 to 0.20	48%
17	NYG	Tyrone Tracy Jr.	RB/FB	15	192.8	0.08	-0.13 to 0.29	41%
18	CLE	Quinshon Judkins	RB/FB	14	244.3	0.06	-0.15 to 0.28	44%
19	ATL	Tyler Allgeier	RB/FB	17	148.6	0.06	-0.09 to 0.21	45%
20	PIT	Jaylen Warren	RB/FB	16	226.8	0.06	-0.16 to 0.27	43%
21	TB	Sean Tucker	RB/FB	14	89.9	0.05	-0.05 to 0.14	46%
22	NYG	Cam Skattebo	RB/FB	8	113.2	0.05	-0.10 to 0.20	43%
23	TB	Bucky Irving	RB/FB	10	185.3	0.05	-0.17 to 0.25	43%
24	TB	Rachaad White	RB/FB	17	148.8	0.05	-0.10 to 0.18	49%
25	JAX PHI	Tank Bigsby	RB/FB	11	64.4	0.04	-0.03 to 0.12	42%
26	WAS	Jeremy McNichols	RB/FB	16	56.2	0.04	-0.01 to 0.10	46%
27	CIN	Samaje Perine	RB/FB	14	91.4	0.04	-0.07 to 0.14	46%
28	MIN	Aaron Jones	RB/FB	12	146.4	0.04	-0.09 to 0.16	51%
29	LAC	Omarion Hampton	RB/FB	9	136.3	0.03	-0.10 to 0.15	50%
30	ARI	Emari Demercado	RB/FB	11	51	0.03	-0.03 to 0.09	43%
31	GB	Emanuel Wilson	RB/FB	16	131.3	0.03	-0.08 to 0.14	50%
32	NYJ	Isaiah Davis	RB/FB	15	52.2	0.03	-0.02 to 0.08	45%
33	CLE	Jerome Ford	RB/FB	13	35.2	0.03	-0.01 to 0.06	42%
34	NYJ	Breece Hall	RB/FB	16	260.5	0.02	-0.24 to 0.31	37%
35	ARI	James Conner	RB/FB	3	35.2	0.02	-0.02 to 0.06	37%
36	BUF	Ty Johnson	RB/FB	17	61.6	0.02	-0.05 to 0.08	46%
37	WAS	Jacory Croskey-Merritt	RB/FB	17	180.6	0.02	-0.18 to 0.21	42%
38	TEN	Tyjae Spears	RB/FB	13	89.5	0.02	-0.06 to 0.09	52%
39	NO	Audric Estimé	RB/FB	5	50.6	0.01	-0.02 to 0.05	43%
40	LA	Kyren Williams	RB/FB	17	276.5	0.01	-0.30 to 0.34	35%
41	WAS	Austin Ekeler	RB/FB	2	16.5	0.01	0.00 to 0.03	28%
42	IND	Ameer Abdullah	RB/FB	12	20	0.01	-0.01 to 0.03	33%
43	CLE	Raheim Sanders	RB/FB	4	28.4	0.01	-0.01 to 0.02	33%
44	PIT	Connor Heyward	RB/FB	11	16.4	0.01	-0.01 to 0.02	26%
45	DEN	Jaleel McLaughlin	RB/FB	8	39.1	0.01	-0.02 to 0.04	38%
46	DAL	Malik Davis	RB/FB	9	53.8	0.01	-0.03 to 0.04	42%
47	HOU KC	Dameon Pierce	RB/FB	3	14.4	0.01	-0.01 to 0.02	24%
48	ARI	Michael Carter	RB/FB	13	107.8	0.00	-0.06 to 0.07	55%
49	IND	DJ Giddens	RB/FB	5	26.7	0.00	-0.01 to 0.02	32%
50	LAC	Jaret Patterson	RB/FB	6	42.4	0.00	-0.01 to 0.02	39%
51	HOU	British Brooks	RB/FB	3	17	0.00	0.00 to 0.01	25%
52	ARI	Corey Kiner	RB/FB	4	13.1	0.00	0.00 to 0.01	24%
53	CLE LAC	Trayveon Williams	RB/FB	5	13.2	0.00	0.00 to 0.01	27%
54	NE	Terrell Jennings	RB/FB	5	23.4	0.00	-0.01 to 0.01	30%
55	CAR	Trevor Etienne	RB/FB	8	21.1	0.00	-0.01 to 0.01	29%
56	LA	Ronnie Rivers	RB/FB	2	9	0.00	0.00 to 0.01	19%
57	NE	Antonio Gibson	RB/FB	5	26.1	0.00	-0.02 to 0.03	31%
58	IND	Tyler Goodson	RB/FB	7	10.1	0.00	0.00 to 0.01	21%
59	LAC	Najee Harris	RB/FB	3	16.1	0.00	-0.02 to 0.02	26%
60	CHI	Brittain Brown	RB/FB	1	5.4	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	15%
61	ARI	Trey Benson	RB/FB	4	34.6	0.00	-0.02 to 0.03	39%
62	DAL	Phil Mafah	RB/FB	1	5.7	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	17%
63	MIN	C.J. Ham	RB/FB	4	3.7	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	14%
64	GB	Chris Brooks	RB/FB	14	33	0.00	-0.01 to 0.01	39%
65	CAR JAX	DeeJay Dallas	RB/FB	2	3.4	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	13%
66	NYJ	Andrew Beck	RB/FB	7	4.2	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	20%
67	CHI	Roschon Johnson	RB/FB	2	2	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	9%
68	SEA	Jacardia Wright	RB/FB	1	5	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	14%
69	BAL	Justice Hill	RB/FB	9	27.5	0.00	-0.03 to 0.03	38%
70	CIN	Kendall Milton	RB/FB	1	2	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	9%
71	BAL	Patrick Ricard	RB/FB	3	1.7	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	11%
72	LAC	Amar Johnson	RB/FB	1	2.4	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	11%
73	DAL	Hunter Luepke	RB/FB	11	21.3	0.00	-0.02 to 0.02	33%
74	ATL	Nate Carter	RB/FB	2	9	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	19%
75	SEA	Brady Russell	RB/FB	1	0.4	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	6%
76	NE	Jack Westover	RB/FB	2	0.7	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	9%
77	TB	Owen Wright	RB/FB	1	3	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	11%
78	IND	Ulysses Bentley IV	RB/FB	1	1	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	6%
79	KC	Elijah Mitchell	RB/FB	1	0.4	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	6%
80	CHI	Travis Homer	RB/FB	1	1	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	6%
81	TEN	Kalel Mullings	RB/FB	3	3	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	11%
82	DET	Jacob Saylors	RB/FB	1	2	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	9%
83	DET	Sione Vaki	RB/FB	1	1	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	6%
84	LAC	Nyheim Hines	RB/FB	1	2	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	9%
85	NYJ	Khalil Herbert	RB/FB	3	17.4	0.00	-0.01 to 0.01	27%
86	BUF	Reggie Gilliam	RB/FB	3	3.1	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	14%
87	TB	Josh Williams	RB/FB	1	4	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	13%
88	SEA	Myles Gaskin	RB/FB	1	3	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	11%
89	PHI	AJ Dillon	RB/FB	6	13.1	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	24%
90	DEN	Adam Prentice	RB/FB	12	12.8	0.00	-0.01 to 0.00	26%
91	DET	Craig Reynolds	RB/FB	1	3	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	11%
92	KC	Clyde Edwards-Helaire	RB/FB	2	7.7	0.00	0.00 to 0.00	19%
93	NYJ	Braelon Allen	RB/FB	4	20.1	0.00	-0.02 to 0.02	28%
94	NYJ	Kene Nwangwu	RB/FB	2	13.4	0.00	-0.01 to 0.00	23%
95	ARI NE	D'Ernest Johnson	RB/FB	5	14	0.00	-0.01 to 0.01	23%
96	DEN	Tyler Badie	RB/FB	14	18.9	0.00	-0.01 to 0.01	37%
97	MIN	Cam Akers	RB/FB	2	6	0.00	-0.01 to 0.00	16%
98	CHI	D'Andre Swift	RB/FB	16	239.8	0.00	-0.29 to 0.26	37%
99	BAL	Rasheen Ali	RB/FB	8	10.9	0.00	-0.01 to 0.00	26%
100	MIA	Alec Ingold	RB/FB	9	5.9	0.00	-0.01 to 0.00	22%
101	TEN	Julius Chestnut	RB/FB	7	11.7	0.00	-0.01 to 0.00	22%
102	LAC	Hassan Haskins	RB/FB	5	18.4	0.00	-0.02 to 0.01	28%
103	LV	Dylan Laube	RB/FB	4	8.4	-0.01	-0.01 to 0.00	21%
104	NO	Kendre Miller	RB/FB	7	48.8	-0.01	-0.04 to 0.03	41%
105	CIN	Tahj Brooks	RB/FB	6	16.7	-0.01	-0.01 to 0.00	26%
106	JAX	LeQuint Allen Jr.	RB/FB	14	26.9	-0.01	-0.02 to 0.00	35%
107	NO	Evan Hull	RB/FB	6	19.4	-0.01	-0.02 to 0.00	27%
108	SF	Kyle Juszczyk	RB/FB	15	11.8	-0.01	-0.02 to 0.00	33%
109	PIT	Kaleb Johnson	RB/FB	10	28.7	-0.01	-0.02 to 0.00	33%
110	HOU	Dare Ogunbowale	RB/FB	9	15.6	-0.01	-0.02 to 0.00	29%
111	MIN	Ty Chandler	RB/FB	2	18.4	-0.01	-0.02 to 0.00	28%
112	DAL	Miles Sanders	RB/FB	4	22.8	-0.01	-0.03 to 0.00	32%
113	DAL	Jaydon Blue	RB/FB	5	38.4	-0.01	-0.03 to 0.01	37%
114	PHI	Will Shipley	RB/FB	11	18.2	-0.01	-0.02 to 0.00	31%
115	SEA	George Holani	RB/FB	4	22.7	-0.01	-0.03 to 0.00	30%
116	CLE	Dylan Sampson	RB/FB	15	79	-0.01	-0.06 to 0.04	52%
117	MIN	Zavier Scott	RB/FB	9	37.6	-0.02	-0.04 to 0.00	40%
118	BUF	Ray Davis	RB/FB	13	62.9	-0.02	-0.08 to 0.04	45%
119	PIT	Kenny Gainwell	RB/FB	17	143.8	-0.02	-0.17 to 0.14	49%
120	SF	Brian Robinson	RB/FB	16	96.2	-0.02	-0.11 to 0.08	46%
121	HOU	Jawhar Jordan	RB/FB	4	45.5	-0.02	-0.05 to 0.01	40%
122	NO	Devin Neal	RB/FB	9	63.7	-0.03	-0.07 to 0.01	47%
123	LV	Zamir White	RB/FB	5	14.1	-0.03	-0.04 to -0.01	26%
124	SEA	Zach Charbonnet	RB/FB	16	193.4	-0.03	-0.24 to 0.18	41%
125	KC	Brashard Smith	RB/FB	15	56.3	-0.03	-0.07 to 0.01	48%
126	BAL	Keaton Mitchell	RB/FB	12	63.2	-0.03	-0.07 to 0.01	45%
127	JAX	Bhayshul Tuten	RB/FB	15	88.9	-0.03	-0.11 to 0.04	48%
128	BUF	James Cook	RB/FB	17	323	-0.03	-0.42 to 0.33	32%
129	MIA	Ollie Gordon II	RB/FB	16	73.2	-0.04	-0.11 to 0.02	45%
130	SEA	Kenneth Walker III	RB/FB	17	233.6	-0.05	-0.28 to 0.18	41%
131	LV	Raheem Mostert	RB/FB	12	26.2	-0.05	-0.07 to -0.02	34%
132	DAL	Javonte Williams	RB/FB	16	269.9	-0.06	-0.33 to 0.22	38%
133	DET	David Montgomery	RB/FB	17	169.5	-0.07	-0.30 to 0.14	39%
134	ARI	Bam Knight	RB/FB	10	93.9	-0.07	-0.15 to 0.01	51%
135	LAC	Kimani Vidal	RB/FB	12	162.7	-0.08	-0.22 to 0.08	47%
136	MIA	Jaylen Wright	RB/FB	9	73.2	-0.09	-0.19 to -0.01	42%
137	MIN	Jordan Mason	RB/FB	16	164.6	-0.10	-0.26 to 0.08	45%
138	DEN	RJ Harvey	RB/FB	17	168	-0.11	-0.27 to 0.05	48%
139	KC	Isiah Pacheco	RB/FB	13	127.1	-0.11	-0.21 to -0.03	53%
140	NE	Rhamondre Stevenson	RB/FB	14	144	-0.14	-0.35 to 0.05	40%
141	GB	Josh Jacobs	RB/FB	15	249.4	-0.14	-0.44 to 0.14	36%
142	HOU	Nick Chubb	RB/FB	15	129	-0.15	-0.27 to -0.03	49%
143	HOU	Woody Marks	RB/FB	16	208.6	-0.16	-0.36 to 0.05	44%
144	TEN	Tony Pollard	RB/FB	17	256.4	-0.17	-0.45 to 0.13	36%
145	NO	Alvin Kamara	RB/FB	11	144.7	-0.19	-0.34 to -0.04	47%
146	JAX	Travis Etienne	RB/FB	17	278.2	-0.23	-0.54 to 0.08	36%
147	SF	Christian McCaffrey	RB/FB	17	357.2	-0.30	-0.63 to 0.04	36%
148	LV	Ashton Jeanty	RB/FB	17	292.6	-0.49	-0.82 to -0.16	33%