wins above replacement
2025 regular-season published offensive skill-position actor and placekicking player value.
published model
Every row shown here comes from a completed run recorded as published after its component-specific release gates passed. Components without a qualifying published run remain absent. This is not all-sides or full-roster WAR.
Not estimated: offensive-line, defensive-player, punting, return, blocking, and coverage WAR.
Terminology: offensive modeled opportunities are fractional actor-credit exposure: passes allocate 0.65 to the passer and 0.35 to the targeted receiver, while rushes allocate 1.0 to the runner. Actor credit rows are reported separately. Kicking opportunities are field-goal and extra-point attempts.
Blocked kicks: 35 blocked attempts are excluded from individual kicker WAR and remain unallocated team-unit value.
Intervals: Offense 1,000 bootstraps · Kicking 1,000 bootstraps.
component provenance
nfl-oakwar-pbp-actor-ridge-offense-v1
1,000 bootstraps · validation and reconciliation passed
49,450 actor credit rows · 32,809.2 modeled opportunities
100,075 multi-season training eligible plays
a95fbf95-3979-40ed-a9fe-21e19dfa69c6nfl-kicking-oakwar-xepa-ridge-v1
1,000 bootstraps · validation and reconciliation passed
2,315 modeled kick attempts
35 blocked attempts unallocated
933203a6-0428-4ff0-88be-11586358b271player rankings
| Rk | Teams | Player | Pos | G | Opportunities | WAR | 90% interval | Reliability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NE | Drake Maye | QB | 17 | 454.2 | 2.06 | 1.22 to 2.93 | 59% |
| 2 | BUF | Josh Allen | QB | 16 | 437.8 | 1.70 | 0.89 to 2.49 | 62% |
| 3 | KC | Patrick Mahomes | QB | 14 | 426.8 | 1.28 | 0.51 to 1.94 | 64% |
| 4 | GB | Jordan Love | QB | 15 | 348.5 | 1.10 | 0.36 to 1.76 | 63% |
| 5 | TB | Baker Mayfield | QB | 17 | 443.2 | 1.09 | 0.18 to 2.02 | 57% |
| 6 | DET | Jared Goff | QB | 17 | 430.9 | 1.00 | 0.13 to 1.90 | 59% |
| 7 | DEN | Bo Nix | QB | 17 | 498.6 | 0.94 | 0.06 to 1.74 | 61% |
| 8 | BAL | Lamar Jackson | QB | 13 | 293.8 | 0.89 | 0.31 to 1.46 | 65% |
| 9 | NYG | Jaxson Dart | QB | 14 | 337.2 | 0.88 | 0.18 to 1.60 | 63% |
| 10 | LA | Matthew Stafford | QB | 17 | 422.7 | 0.86 | -0.05 to 1.58 | 61% |
| 11 | LAC | Justin Herbert | QB | 16 | 465.1 | 0.78 | -0.11 to 1.65 | 60% |
| 12 | WAS | Jayden Daniels | QB | 7 | 196.1 | 0.62 | 0.26 to 0.98 | 66% |
| 13 | PHI | Jalen Hurts | QB | 16 | 427.9 | 0.56 | -0.22 to 1.36 | 62% |
| 14 | IND | Daniel Jones | QB | 13 | 312.7 | 0.54 | -0.07 to 1.10 | 66% |
| 15 | DAL | Dak Prescott | QB | 17 | 457.9 | 0.49 | -0.43 to 1.38 | 59% |
| 16 | CIN | Joe Burrow | QB | 8 | 203.9 | 0.45 | 0.03 to 0.85 | 66% |
| 17 | SF | Brock Purdy | QB | 9 | 231.1 | 0.42 | -0.05 to 0.87 | 67% |
| 18 | JAX | Trevor Lawrence | QB | 17 | 481.9 | 0.37 | -0.61 to 1.41 | 56% |
| 19 | PIT | Aaron Rodgers | QB | 16 | 373.5 | 0.35 | -0.40 to 1.08 | 63% |
| 20 | ARI | Kyler Murray | QB | 5 | 149.1 | 0.31 | 0.01 to 0.59 | 64% |
| 21 | CAR | Bryce Young | QB | 16 | 386.9 | 0.29 | -0.51 to 1.14 | 60% |
| 22 | MIA | Tua Tagovailoa | QB | 14 | 295.8 | 0.25 | -0.35 to 0.83 | 65% |
| 23 | NYJ | Justin Fields | QB | 9 | 231.1 | 0.20 | -0.24 to 0.67 | 65% |
| 24 | WAS | Marcus Mariota | QB | 10 | 213.5 | 0.19 | -0.26 to 0.65 | 65% |
| 25 | GB | Malik Willis | QB | 4 | 41.8 | 0.16 | 0.08 to 0.23 | 42% |
| 26 | SF | Mac Jones | QB | 9 | 228 | 0.16 | -0.27 to 0.57 | 68% |
| 27 | NYJ | Tyrod Taylor | QB | 6 | 127.6 | 0.14 | -0.10 to 0.37 | 62% |
| 28 | SEA | Sam Darnold | QB | 17 | 363.5 | 0.13 | -0.70 to 0.87 | 61% |
| 29 | ATL | Michael Penix Jr. | QB | 9 | 210.3 | 0.11 | -0.35 to 0.58 | 65% |
| 30 | NYG | Jameis Winston | QB | 3 | 52.3 | 0.06 | -0.05 to 0.17 | 48% |
| 31 | BUF | Mitchell Trubisky | QB | 4 | 26.4 | 0.06 | 0.03 to 0.09 | 37% |
| 32 | WAS | Josh Johnson | QB | 3 | 46.2 | 0.06 | 0.01 to 0.11 | 45% |
| 33 | DAL | Joe Milton III | QB | 4 | 21 | 0.04 | 0.01 to 0.08 | 32% |
| 34 | PIT | Mason Rudolph | QB | 4 | 39.5 | 0.04 | -0.04 to 0.11 | 43% |
| 35 | PHI | Tanner McKee | QB | 2 | 36.1 | 0.03 | -0.01 to 0.08 | 40% |
| 36 | CLE | Dillon Gabriel | QB | 10 | 153.3 | 0.03 | -0.20 to 0.25 | 66% |
| 37 | LV | Aidan O'Connell | QB | 1 | 16.3 | 0.02 | -0.01 to 0.04 | 30% |
| 38 | IND | Riley Leonard | QB | 5 | 52.3 | 0.02 | -0.08 to 0.10 | 48% |
| 39 | MIA | Quinn Ewers | QB | 4 | 66.7 | 0.01 | -0.10 to 0.11 | 52% |
| 40 | MIA | Zach Wilson | QB | 3 | 8.5 | 0.01 | 0.00 to 0.01 | 21% |
| 41 | CHI | Tyson Bagent | QB | 2 | 3.6 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.01 | 14% |
| 42 | KC | Shane Buechele | QB | 1 | 15.5 | 0.00 | -0.01 to 0.01 | 27% |
| 43 | NE | Joshua Dobbs | QB | 4 | 7.5 | 0.00 | -0.01 to 0.01 | 21% |
| 44 | MIN | Carson Wentz | QB | 5 | 140.3 | 0.00 | -0.22 to 0.23 | 64% |
| 45 | JAX | Nick Mullens | QB | 2 | 2 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 11% |
| 46 | TB | Teddy Bridgewater | QB | 1 | 13.1 | 0.00 | -0.01 to 0.01 | 26% |
| 47 | IND | Anthony Richardson | QB | 2 | 2.7 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.01 | 11% |
| 48 | SEA | Jalen Milroe | QB | 2 | 2 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 9% |
| 49 | DET | Kyle Allen | QB | 1 | 1.3 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 9% |
| 50 | ARI | Kedon Slovis | QB | 2 | 1.3 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 9% |
| 51 | CIN | Brett Rypien | QB | 1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.00 | 6% |
| 52 | SEA | Drew Lock | QB | 1 | 2 | 0.00 | 0.00 to 0.01 | 11% |
| 53 | IND | Philip Rivers | QB | 3 | 65.5 | -0.01 | -0.12 to 0.09 | 52% |
| 54 | HOU | C.J. Stroud | QB | 14 | 341 | -0.01 | -0.67 to 0.65 | 66% |
| 55 | KC | Gardner Minshew | QB | 2 | 10.2 | -0.02 | -0.04 to 0.01 | 23% |
| 56 | LV | Kenny Pickett | QB | 6 | 40.6 | -0.02 | -0.08 to 0.04 | 43% |
| 57 | CAR | Andy Dalton | QB | 3 | 33.4 | -0.02 | -0.09 to 0.06 | 39% |
| 58 | GB | Clayton Tune | QB | 2 | 19.1 | -0.02 | -0.05 to 0.00 | 30% |
| 59 | BAL | Tyler Huntley | QB | 4 | 70.3 | -0.02 | -0.15 to 0.10 | 52% |
| 60 | TEN | Brandon Allen | QB | 1 | 20.5 | -0.03 | -0.07 to 0.00 | 33% |
| 61 | NYG | Russell Wilson | QB | 6 | 108.9 | -0.06 | -0.27 to 0.15 | 59% |
| 62 | HOU | Davis Mills | QB | 6 | 125.1 | -0.08 | -0.25 to 0.09 | 63% |
| 63 | KC | Chris Oladokun | QB | 3 | 48.8 | -0.09 | -0.16 to -0.02 | 46% |
| 64 | BAL | Cooper Rush | QB | 3 | 35.2 | -0.10 | -0.17 to -0.03 | 42% |
| 65 | ATL | Kirk Cousins | QB | 10 | 198.1 | -0.10 | -0.51 to 0.29 | 66% |
| 66 | CLE | Shedeur Sanders | QB | 8 | 186.8 | -0.11 | -0.47 to 0.27 | 66% |
| 67 | LAC | Trey Lance | QB | 4 | 56.5 | -0.11 | -0.20 to -0.04 | 48% |
| 68 | NO | Tyler Shough | QB | 11 | 283.4 | -0.13 | -0.65 to 0.43 | 66% |
| 69 | CIN | Jake Browning | QB | 5 | 100 | -0.16 | -0.38 to 0.02 | 59% |
| 70 | MIN | Max Brosmer | QB | 6 | 63.2 | -0.20 | -0.33 to -0.08 | 50% |
| 71 | CHI | Caleb Williams | QB | 17 | 470.2 | -0.30 | -1.08 to 0.52 | 62% |
| 72 | NYJ | Brady Cook | QB | 5 | 131.9 | -0.33 | -0.52 to -0.14 | 64% |
| 73 | MIN | J.J. McCarthy | QB | 10 | 213.7 | -0.39 | -0.87 to 0.13 | 64% |
| 74 | CINCLE | Joe Flacco | QB | 13 | 308.2 | -0.50 | -1.19 to 0.16 | 64% |
| 75 | ARI | Jacoby Brissett | QB | 14 | 404 | -0.55 | -1.27 to 0.17 | 64% |
| 76 | NO | Spencer Rattler | QB | 9 | 218 | -0.69 | -1.15 to -0.25 | 66% |
| 77 | LV | Geno Smith | QB | 15 | 386.5 | -0.82 | -1.59 to -0.03 | 62% |
| 78 | TEN | Cam Ward | QB | 17 | 449 | -1.71 | -2.71 to -0.84 | 57% |