wins above replacement

NFL WAR

2025 regular-season published offensive skill-position actor and placekicking player value.

2025 2024 2023

published model

Published component WAR

Published

Every row shown here comes from a completed run recorded as published after its component-specific release gates passed. Components without a qualifying published run remain absent. This is not all-sides or full-roster WAR.

ScopeQB · RB/FB · WR · TE · K

ComponentsOffense + Kicking

Modeled opportunities35,124.2

Published scope coverage99.9%

UncertaintyComponent-specific

Not estimated: offensive-line, defensive-player, punting, return, blocking, and coverage WAR.

Terminology: offensive modeled opportunities are fractional actor-credit exposure: passes allocate 0.65 to the passer and 0.35 to the targeted receiver, while rushes allocate 1.0 to the runner. Actor credit rows are reported separately. Kicking opportunities are field-goal and extra-point attempts.

Blocked kicks: 35 blocked attempts are excluded from individual kicker WAR and remain unallocated team-unit value.

Intervals: Offense 1,000 bootstraps · Kicking 1,000 bootstraps.

component provenance

Runs used on this page

Offensive skill-position WARPublished

nfl-oakwar-pbp-actor-ridge-offense-v1

1,000 bootstraps · validation and reconciliation passed

49,450 actor credit rows · 32,809.2 modeled opportunities

100,075 multi-season training eligible plays

a95fbf95-3979-40ed-a9fe-21e19dfa69c6Generated 2026-07-15 07:43:16.680055+00

Kicking WARPublished

nfl-kicking-oakwar-xepa-ridge-v1

1,000 bootstraps · validation and reconciliation passed

2,315 modeled kick attempts

35 blocked attempts unallocated

933203a6-0428-4ff0-88be-11586358b271Generated 2026-07-15 05:59:21.696501+00

player rankings

2025 NFL WAR leaders

PositionTeamMin attempts

Rk	Teams	Player	Pos	G	Attempts	FG / XP	Kicking WAR	90% interval	Reliability
1	MIN	Will Reichard	K	16	66	35 / 31	0.55	0.23 to 0.83	69%
2	SF	Eddy Pineiro	K	14	65	29 / 36	0.54	0.35 to 0.72	68%
3	HOU	Ka'imi Fairbairn	K	15	75	47 / 28	0.52	0.13 to 0.91	71%
4	NYJ	Nick Folk	K	16	51	29 / 22	0.49	0.25 to 0.69	63%
5	PIT	Chris Boswell	K	17	73	31 / 42	0.48	0.06 to 0.99	71%
6	TB	Chase McLaughlin	K	17	68	35 / 33	0.44	-0.06 to 0.93	69%
7	CIN	Evan McPherson	K	16	71	28 / 43	0.40	0.11 to 0.68	70%
8	LAC	Cameron Dicker	K	17	76	41 / 35	0.37	0.05 to 0.67	72%
9	TEN	Joey Slye	K	16	61	34 / 27	0.35	-0.17 to 0.89	67%
10	JAX	Cam Little	K	17	85	34 / 51	0.34	-0.12 to 0.80	74%
11	ATL	Zane Gonzalez	K	9	37	20 / 17	0.34	0.12 to 0.52	55%
12	MIA	Riley Patterson	K	16	64	29 / 35	0.34	0.10 to 0.54	68%
13	DAL	Brandon Aubrey	K	17	90	42 / 48	0.33	-0.23 to 0.93	75%
14	SEA	Jason Myers	K	17	95	47 / 48	0.29	-0.28 to 0.78	76%
15	DEN	Wil Lutz	K	17	70	31 / 39	0.20	-0.10 to 0.46	70%
16	CHI	Cairo Santos	K	14	68	29 / 39	0.16	-0.16 to 0.46	69%
17	DET	Jake Bates	K	17	87	32 / 55	0.14	-0.16 to 0.44	74%
18	LA	Harrison Mevis	K	9	52	13 / 39	0.12	-0.09 to 0.28	63%
19	KC	Harrison Butker	K	17	72	38 / 34	0.11	-0.17 to 0.41	71%
20	BUF	Matt Prater	K	15	69	20 / 49	0.09	-0.13 to 0.31	70%
21	HOU TEN WAS	Matthew Wright	K	4	9	5 / 4	0.09	0.02 to 0.15	23%
22	NYG	Ben Sauls	K	3	15	8 / 7	0.08	0.05 to 0.12	33%
23	NYG	Graham Gano	K	5	19	10 / 9	0.08	-0.08 to 0.22	39%
24	IND	Spencer Shrader	K	5	28	14 / 14	0.07	-0.14 to 0.23	48%
25	CHI SF WAS	Jake Moody	K	8	37	21 / 16	0.06	-0.21 to 0.33	55%
26	CLE	Andre Szmyt	K	16	53	27 / 26	0.06	-0.35 to 0.44	64%
27	LV	Daniel Carlson	K	15	48	26 / 22	0.06	-0.25 to 0.36	62%
28	GB	Lucas Havrisik	K	3	13	4 / 9	0.03	-0.06 to 0.13	30%
29	NE	Andy Borregales	K	17	86	31 / 55	0.02	-0.28 to 0.34	74%
30	BAL	Tyler Loop	K	17	80	34 / 46	0.01	-0.27 to 0.29	73%
31	BUF IND	Mike Badgley	K	8	36	12 / 24	0.01	-0.22 to 0.23	55%
32	GB	Brandon McManus	K	14	61	29 / 32	0.00	-0.37 to 0.28	67%
33	CAR	Ryan Fitzgerald	K	17	58	28 / 30	-0.01	-0.42 to 0.39	66%
34	NO	Charlie Smyth	K	6	29	16 / 13	-0.04	-0.32 to 0.25	49%
35	NYG	Jude McAtamney	K	4	14	2 / 12	-0.06	-0.14 to 0.02	32%
36	ARI	Chad Ryland	K	17	68	32 / 36	-0.11	-0.52 to 0.26	69%
37	ATL	John Parker Romo	K	7	26	13 / 13	-0.12	-0.62 to 0.18	46%
38	PHI	Jake Elliott	K	17	69	27 / 42	-0.14	-0.60 to 0.28	70%
39	SF WAS	Matt Gay	K	12	49	23 / 26	-0.17	-0.57 to 0.20	62%
40	LA	Joshua Karty	K	8	37	13 / 24	-0.17	-0.47 to 0.14	55%
41	ATL NYG	Younghoe Koo	K	6	23	9 / 14	-0.23	-0.60 to 0.03	43%
42	IND NO	Blake Grupe	K	16	62	37 / 25	-0.33	-0.95 to 0.27	67%